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Trump Rallies in Port Huron Against El-Sayed as Michigan's Senate Race Enters Its Final Eleven Days

A Sunday rally, a Saturday Obama visit and a race called a dead heat show why Michigan is a hinge for Senate control, with Democrats needing four Republican seats to take the chamber.

Outspoken Digest News Desk

Monday, October 26, 2026/2 min read

The brick tower at the McMorran Place complex in Port Huron, Michigan, rising above a lawn and car park under a blue sky, photographed on 23 August 2019, a file photograph of the venue and not of Sunday's rally
Photo: Oaktree b via Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0)

With eleven days left before the 3 November midterms, the fight for the Senate has narrowed to a handful of states, and on the weekend Michigan got the heaviest traffic. Former President Barack Obama rallied in Detroit on Saturday for Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed and gubernatorial candidate Jocelyn Benson, urging voters to put a check on Trump's agenda, Fox News reported. On Sunday, President Donald Trump answered in Port Huron.

Trump held his rally at McMorran Place for Republican Senate nominee Mike Rogers and gubernatorial candidate John James. NBC News reported that he called El-Sayed a "jihadist" and a Muslim Brotherhood member, without offering evidence, and said he did not belong in the Senate. El-Sayed has repeatedly denied ties to the group and denounced it. Both candidates were born in Michigan.

How close is the Michigan Senate race?

NBC describes the contest as a dead heat. A Yahoo News roundup of polling, updated on Friday, said El-Sayed led in 18 of 19 recent polls, by between 1 and 7 points, a narrow edge that sits close to the usual margin of error. Rogers, asked on NBC's "Meet the Press" about Trump's labels, said the race was about him and his opponent and that he has never called his opponent a terrorist, though he took the stage beside Trump on Sunday.

The campaigns traded the rest of the weekend. El-Sayed's team called Rogers a rubber stamp for the administration, and Sen. Bernie Sanders rallied for El-Sayed in Grand Rapids on Sunday, Fox's live coverage said.

Who is favoured to control the Senate?

Democrats hold 47 seats and need 51 for outright control, since a 50-50 split would give Vice President JD Vance the tiebreaking vote. Yahoo's analysis says they must flip four Republican-held seats and that forecasters now lean their way, though it cautions that polls have been wrong before. Besides Michigan, which Democrats are defending, it lists Maine, Ohio, North Carolina, Alaska, Texas, Iowa and Kansas among the races to watch. Trump's approval stands at about 36.9 percent in the Silver Bulletin average, the Yahoo piece said, citing the New York Times for the claim that it is the second lowest heading into a midterm since 1946.

Is early voting running higher than in 2022?

Yes, with a catch. More than 16 million people in 41 states and the District of Columbia had voted early by Thursday, according to the University of Florida's Election Lab as cited by Spectrum News, more than 40 percent above the same point in 2022. Kansas and Texas have seen huge surges, while Maine, North Carolina and Ohio are each up at least 30 percent. Michigan and Georgia, both with Democratic-held seats, are running roughly level with the last midterm.

That flat line is why the final stretch matters for Democrats in Michigan, and why both parties are spending their candidates' time there. The result will show whether the weekend's rallies moved anyone, or only energised voters who had already decided.

Published in The Outspoken Digest

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